There are only 31 hours left before polls open for the US elections. Based on polling data {source} and a few (barely) educated guesses {source} here’s how I think it’s going to go down …
The White House
Winner: Democrats (Obama).
Results: Democrats 290/ Republicans 248. A much closer race than 2008’s result of 365 / 173.
Closest races:
| State | Winner | |
| Florida | Republican | |
| Virginia | Republican | |
| Colorado | Democrats | |
| New Hampshire | Democrats | |
| Michigan | Democrats |
The Senate
Majority of Seats: Democrats
Results: Democrats 53 seats / Republicans 47. Both parties hold onto exactly the same number of seats as last election.
Closest races:
| State | Winner |
| Nevada | Republican |
| Montana | Republican |
| Virginia | Democrats |
| Indiana | Democrats |
| Wisconsin | Democrats |
House of Representatives
Majority of Seats: Republican
Results: Democrats 187 seats / Republicans 248. That means the Democrats lose a total of 7 seats to the Republicans (current house is 194 / 241).
Closest races:
| State | Winner |
| Arizona (1st district) | Republican |
| California (7th district) | Republican |
| Iowa (3rd district) | Republican |
| Illinois (12th district) | Democrats |
| Michigan (1st district) | Republican |
As a bit of a lefty it’s good to see that Obama should win the presidency fairly comfortably, but the predicted loss of so many seats in the House of Reps is a real shame.
Oh well, at least it’ll be kind of fun to see how close I get to the truth. Let’s wait and see …
A Hole in the Head 